Rethinking Makran Coastal Region Development Plans: Policy Gaps and Pathways within the Planetary Boundaries Framework

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Natural Environment, Faculty of Natural Resources, College of Agriculture & Natural Resources, University of Tehran, Karaj, Iran

2 Researcher, Social Business Institute, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

The Makran region in southeastern Iran, with its strategic location on the Indian Ocean and rich biodiversity, has been designated as a major axis for marine-oriented development in national planning. Yet, dominant development approaches, centered on infrastructure expansion and lacking adequate ecological assessment, have placed growing pressure on natural resources and reduced social-ecological resilience. This study applies the frameworks of planetary boundaries and resilience theory to evaluate planning documents for the Makran coasts and their compatibility with ecological capacities. The review of key documents—including the Strategic Development Document for the Makran Coasts, provincial land-use plans, and free zone programs—reveals critical shortcomings in addressing environmental thresholds related to climate change, land-use change, biodiversity loss, and freshwater scarcity. Moreover, limited opportunities for community participation and the absence of strategic environmental assessments further undermine regional resilience. In contrast, international experiences in the European Union and Southeast Asia demonstrate how environmental frameworks and participatory governance can effectively guide coastal development. Using a critical-analytical approach and content analysis, this study argues that policy-making for Makran’s development must be restructured around ecological thresholds, local capacities, and resilience principles. Without such reform, ongoing trends risk exacerbating environmental degradation, social vulnerability, and ecological insecurity. The findings aim to provide pathways for revising development documents, strengthening environmental governance, and promoting sustainable coastal development within the planetary boundaries framework.

Keywords


  1. Ali, T., Ali, W., & Shahnaz. (2019). Water Scarcity and Social Well-being of People in Makran. Indian Journal of Public Administration65(3), 679-686. https://doi.org/10.1177/00195561198445
  2. Atlantic Council. (2016, March 15). How to Promote the Potential of Iran's Makran Coast. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/iransource/how-to-promote-the-potential-of-iran-s-makran-coast/.
  3. Barati, A. N., Akbarpour, H., & Eslami, A. (2023). Pathology of Sea -Oriented Development of Makran Coasts with Emphasis on Upstream Documents. Journal of Marine Engineering, 19(38), 125-136. 61186/marineeng.19.38.125
  4. Biggs, R., Schlüter, M., & Schoon, M. L. (Eds.). (2015). Principles for Building Resilience: Sustaining Ecosystem Services in Social-Ecological Systems. Cambridge University Press.
  5. Center for Strategic Studies of the Presidency. (2022). Strategic studies on the development of Makran coasts. Tehran, Iran.
    Retrieved from https://eitaa.com/makranp.
  6. Center for Strategic Studies of the Presidency. (2023a). Roadmap to remove obstacles and accelerate the process of development and implementation of the Makran coastal development plan. Tehran, Iran.
    Retrieved from https://www.cdrf.ir/uploads/.
  7. Center for Strategic Studies of the Presidency. (2023b). The necessity of implementing the national strategic plan for the development of Makran coasts. Tehran, Iran.
    Retrieved from https://www.mehrnews.com/news/4443959.
  8. Chabahar Free Zone Organization. (2023a). Development programs in Chabahar Free Zone: Petrochemical, steel and infrastructure projects. Retrieved from https://www.cfzo.ir
  9. Chabahar Free Zone Organization. (2023b). Strategic investment opportunities in Chabahar: Presentation at Iran EXPO 2023. Retrieved from https://www.cfzo.ir
  10. Creswell, J. W., & Creswell, J. D. (2017). Research Design: Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches (5th ed.). Sage Publications.
  11. Drees, L., Luetkemeier, R., & Kerber, H. (2021). Necessary or oversimplification? On the strengths and limitations of current assessments to integrate social dimensions in planetary boundaries. Ecological Indicators,129, 108009. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108009
  12. (n.d.-a). Coastal Fisheries Initiative – Indonesia. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Retrieved from https://www.fao.org/in-action/coastal-fisheries-initiative/activities/indonesia/en/fao.org
  13. (n.d.-b). Coastal Fisheries Initiative – Senegal. Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Retrieved from https://www.fao.org/in-action/coastal-fisheries-initiative/activities/west-africa/senegal/en/fao.org
  14. FMso (Foreign Military Studies Office). (2024, February 29). Iran's Supreme Leader Announces Maritime Development Strategy. https://fmso.tradoc.army.mil/2024/irans-supreme-leader-announces-maritime-development-strategy/.
  15. Folke, C. (2006). Resilience: The emergence of a perspective for social–ecological systems analyses. Global environmental change,16(3), 253-267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2006.04.002
  16. Folke, C., Biggs, R., Norström, A. V., Reyers, B., & Rockström, J. (2016). Social-ecological resilience and biosphere-based sustainability science. Ecology and Society, 21(3). http://dx.doi.org/10.5751/ES-08748-210341
  17. Folke, C., Carpenter, S. R., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Chapin, T., & Rockström, J. (2010). Resilience thinking: integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability. Ecology and Society, 15(4). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26268226
  18. Ghanavati, E., Shah-Hosseini, M., & Marriner, N. (2021). Analysis of the Makran coastline of Iran's vulnerability to global sea-level rise. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering,9 (8), 891. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse9080891
  19. Hoff, H. (2022). How the Planetary Boundaries framework can support national implementation of the 2030 Agenda. Stockholm Environment Institute.
  20. Hormozgan Investment Services Center. (2023). Investment opportunities in Jask Free Zone and southern Iran. Retrieved from https://investinhormozgan.ir
  21. (2024, August 30). Makran Coast at Risk of Environmental Disaster. https://en.imna.ir/news/782706/Makran-Coast-at-Risk-of-Environmental-Disaster.
  22. (2022). Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
  23. Iranian Oil Terminals Company. (2023). Jask oil terminal project and strategic plans for energy exports. Retrieved from https://www.iotco.ir.
  24. Kashef, S., Mashhadi, A., & Pournouri, M. (2022). Development of Makran beaches and its environmental pollution in the Oman Sea. Journal of Animal Environment (AEJ), 14(2), 307-316. 10.22034/AEJ.2021.262211.2442
  25. Krippendorff, K. (2018). Content Analysis: An Introduction to Its Methodology (4th ed.). Sage Publications.
  26. Makran Coasts; Trade Development Highway with Russia and India. (n.d.). InfoBrics. https://infobrics.org/post/43323/.
  27. Management and Planning Organization of Hormozgan Province. (2018). Spatial planning document of Hormozgan Province (In Persian). Bandar Abbas, Iran.
  28. Management and Planning Organization of Sistan and Baluchestan Province. (2018). Spatial planning document of Sistan and Baluchestan Province toward 2045 horizon (In Persian). Zahedan, Iran.
  29. Mehdinia, A., Bateni, F., Vaighan, D. J., & Fumani, N. S. (2021). Occurrence of polychlorinated biphenyl congeners in marine sediment of Makran region, Chabahr bay, Iran. Marine Pollution Bulletin164, 112038. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2021.112038
  30. Miles, M. B., Huberman, A. M., & Saldaña, J. (2014). Qualitative Data Analysis: A Methods Sourcebook (3rd ed.). Sage Publications.
  31. Ministry of Interior, Iran. (2016). Special development and construction plan of the Makran coastal region (Supporting studies of the development document, 2016–2020) (In Persian). Tehran, Iran.
  32. Ministry of Roads and Urban Development. (2022). Railway connectivity project: Chabahar to Zahedan railway. Retrieved from https://www.mrud.ir
  33. Najafi, M. S., & Alizadeh, O. (2023). Climate zones in Iran. Meteorological Applications, 30(5), e2147. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.2147
  34. Olivares-Aguilar, I. C., Sánchez-Dávila, G., Wildermann, N. E., Clark, D., Floerl, L., Villamizar, E., ... & Nagy, G. J. (2022). Methodological approaches to assess climate vulnerability and cumulative impacts on coastal landscapes. Frontiers in Climate4, 1018182. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.1018182
  35. Pezeshkian announces comprehensive plan for Makran region development. (2024, December 18). Tehran Times.
  36. Pope, J., Annandale, D., & Morrison-Saunders, A. (2004). Conceptualising sustainability assessment. Environmental impact assessment review24(6), 595-616. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2004.03.001
  37. Press TV. (2025, February 17). Explainer: How can Iran's Makran region be transformed into an economic hub?
  38. (2024, August 14). Makran, a watershed in building sea-based economy in Iran. https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/08/14/731353/Makran,-a-watershed-in-building-sea-based-economy-in-Iran
  39. Rahimi, M., Ghorbani, M., & Ahmadaali, K. (2025). Exploring the influence of regime shifts on ecosystem services in Iran’s Zayandeh-Rud river basin. International Journal of River Basin Management23(3), 401-412. https://doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2024.2325156
  40. Rahimi, M., Ghorbani, M., Malekian, A., & Alambaigi, A. (2022). Analysis of institution-stakeholder relations for the nested water governance in downstream of the Kor river basin. Watershed Management Research35(1), 61-72. https://doi.org/10.22092/wmrj.2021.353840.1394
  41. Robèrt, K. H., Broman, G. I., & Basile, G. (2013). Analyzing the concept of planetary boundaries from a strategic sustainability perspective: how does humanity avoid tipping the planet?. Ecology and Society18(2). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26269325
  42. Rockström, J., Donges, J. F., Fetzer, I., Martin, M. A., Wang-Erlandsson, L., & Richardson, K. (2024). Planetary Boundaries guide humanity’s future on Earth. Nature Reviews Earth & Environment5(11), 773-788. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-024-00597-z
  43. Rockström, J., Steffen, W., Noone, K., Persson, Å., Chapin III, F. S., Lambin, E., ... & Foley, J. (2009). Planetary boundaries: exploring the safe operating space for humanity. Ecology and society, 14(2). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26268316
  44. Runhaar, H., Driessen, P., & Uittenbroek, C. (2014). Towards a systematic framework for the analysis of environmental policy integration. Environmental policy and governance24(4), 233-246. https://doi.org/10.1002/eet.1647
  45. Sadat Mousavi, H. S., Rahimi, M., & Ghorbani, M. (2024). A Look at Planetary Boundaries: Current Status and Implications of Their Breach for Humanity. Zist Sepehr Student Magazine17(1), 125-130. https://biosepehrsj.ut.ac.ir/article_99769_en.html?lang=fa
  46. Shariatyniya, L., Ghorbani, M., Azarnivand, H., & Rahimi, M. (2025). Resilience through Relationships: Evaluating rangeland governance structures in semi-arid Tafresh county. Journal of Arid Environments229, 105397. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2025.105397
  47. Steffen, W., Richardson, K., Rockström, J., Cornell, SE, Fetzer, I., Bennett, EM, ... & Sörlin, S. (2015). Planetary boundaries: Guiding human development on a changing planet. science347(6223), 1259855. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1259855
  48. Supreme Council for Spatial Planning. (2019). National land use planning document (Approved in 2019) (In Persian). Tehran, Iran.
  49. Supreme Council for Spatial Planning. (2020). Development plan of Makran coastal region toward horizon 1415. Tehran, Iran.
  50. Supreme Council of Free and Special Economic Zones. (2022). Approval of Jask Free Zone and development outlook. Retrieved from https://www.freezones.ir
  51. Veicy, H. (2023). The Development of Makran Depends on the Adoption of Maritime Strategy and Land Use Planning. Journal of Geography, 21(77), 31-54. http://dor.net/dor/20.1001.1.27833739.1402.21.77.3.6
  52. Walker, B., & Meyers, J. A. (2004). Thresholds in ecological and social–ecological systems: a developing database. Ecology and society,9(2). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26267674
  53. Williams, A., Perego, P., & Whiteman, G. (2025). Boundary conditions for organizations in the anthropocene: A review of the planetary boundaries framework 10 years on. Journal of Management Studies62(4), 1811-1846. https://doi.org/10.1111/joms.13150
  54. World Bank. (n.d.). Iran, Islamic Rep. - Climatology. Climate Change Knowledge Portal.